[aprssig] (OT) Nuclear Energy
Scott Miller scott at opentrac.orgThu Sep 20 15:42:58 UTC 2007
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The standard answer here is thorium and breeder reactors. Not simple or cheap, but it's a solvable problem, and I have more faith in that than commercially viable fusion at this point. As for proliferation concerns with fuel reprocessing, if I remember right there are ways of doing that that'll yield materials not suitable for bombs. Of the top of my head, I think an excess of plutonium 240 renders the fuel unusable for bombs due to spontaneous fission. It's very difficult to process it for weapons use - not impossible, but it's easier to monitor and regulate. And in the long run, maybe the world as a whole is safer with a few more nukes out there if it keeps a few billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere and reduces the need for coal mining and fighting over oil. But we're getting a little off-topic... Scott N1VG Rick Green wrote: > Even Nuclear isn't the 'silver bullet'. Uranium is a finite resource, > and is subject to production limitations, Peaking, and decline, just as > any other mineral resource. > > From an article on theoildrum.com today: > > " the (current) world uranium reserve will be gone in the time range > between 2030 and 2040, meaning that we must anticipate developing > speculative resources. A 7 GWe reactor needs 180 tons of uranium/year. > And the 371 GWe production from 439 reactors adds up to a need for > 67,000 ton/year. With a 1 2% growth for 20 years, this will lead to a > need for between 51 and 130,000 tons of uranium. The reserve is thus > going to run out in less than 50 years." > > ...and that's just running the current reactors, which are producing > only 15% of the world's current energy needs. Clearly, if we were to do > a massive ramp-up of reactor construction, we would run out of minable > ore even faster, possibly before we could even double the current > capacity, certainly before we could expand it six-fold! > > Read theoildrum. The economics for biofuels, nuclear, solar, wind, etc, > all have limits, and no one can possibly supply more than a fraction of > our energy needs. So it's clear that the first step is conservation, > and shifting from growth-based to sustainable steady-state economics. > And then develop multiple potential energy sources, in parallel. > > Where did this thread start? Wasn't it something about deprecating the > use of RELAY??? >
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